Other Thoughts Illustrated

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Month: December, 2012

What’s the FAAB System? – A Definition

*This information is for Fantasy Sports player reference

FREE AGENT ACQUISITION BUDGET 
This waiver system is a blind auction open to every team within the league. League creators can select this option via a radio button in the “Transaction and Keepers” tab of the league setup process.

In an auction bidding environment, players who move to waivers after the league draft, players who are dropped, or players added to the player pool during the season become waiver-eligible for the timeframe set by the league creator. However, instead of placing a traditional waiver claim, an owner places a bid they feel is appropriate based on a player’s value. The league creator assigns the pre-determined budget of each team for waiver bidding over the course of the season. During the auction waiver period, team owners may bid at any time before it expires. In an auction bidding environment, no player on the waiver wire is a Free Agent (FA). The bidding is an open process and there is no sequence for the bids. Team owners may bid at any time during the waiver period, before it expires.

In the event of bids of equal amounts for a player by two teams (a tie), waiver order priority determines the winner of the player. During the waiver period, no team can see any other team’s bids or bid amounts. All teams can view FAAB results after the waiver release time, either on the league home page or the “Free Agent Auction Report”. Additionally, all teams can view other team budget balances on each team clubhouse and waiver order pages.

The Greatness of Adrian Peterson

This is an amazing look at Adrian Peterson’s improbable comeback from torn knee ligaments on Christmas Eve 2011, to the cusp of rushing for 2000+ yards this year:

(Grantland.com is a site that has some very talented writers on sports and pop-culture and I could conceivably simply link you to the original story, but I have elected to reprint this simply to allow for the editing of certain words that are allowed there that I deemed a bit unnecessary for the story. I take no credit for the composition of the article I am taking a large excerpt from below. It was written by Steve Marsh on Grantland.com and the entirety of the article can be found here. We join this article in progress…) 

Last year on Christmas Eve, the Adrian Peterson story became interesting again. Of course, that’s not how Vikings fans felt at the time — he had just signed a seven-year, $96 million contract earlier in the season and now he was writhing on the Redskins’ FedEx field. But even before this dark moment, even after five great seasons, he wasn’t being recognized as the best running back in the game anymore. Or maybe just not celebrated. When’s the last time you read a story trying to figure out Adrian Peterson? It’s not your fault. The Vikings were rebuilding, and football fans and fantasy football people had moved on to the newest shiny, pretty thing, whether that was Maurice Jones-Drew or Arian Foster or Ray Rice. And then, when AP tore his ACL on that Christmas Eve night game against the Redskins, well, it was tragic, but that’s the way it goes in the NFL. It’s as cruel and as Darwinist as it comes.

I talked to the Vikings’ head athletic trainer about that night in D.C.

“Anytime a professional athlete suffers a devastating injury like an ACL, there are so many emotions, but the first emotion is anger and denial,” Eric Sugarman says. “And Adrian had both of those.”

When Sugarman and Vikings orthopedic surgeon Dr. Joel Boyd came up to the injured player, AP said, “It’s my knee.”

“He was asking, ‘Why?’ over and over again,” Sugarman says. “Why me? Why me? Why me?” Dr. Boyd administered the Lachman test, a maneuver that assesses the ACL. “You basically grab above and below the knee and it’s like pulling a drawer out,” Sugarman says. “And usually there’s a good endpoint, and it kind of clunks into place. Well, when the ACL’s torn, that thing just keeps going and going and you can pull it to the moon.” The two men could see that AP’s ligament had gone the way of Ralph Kramden’s wife. “So you just know right away. This is the face of the franchise and he just tore his ACL. Not to mention it’s Christmas Eve.

They carted him to the locker room and got him showered and got ice on his knee. The rest of the game went by. “We come back into the locker room,” Sugarman says. “And he’s not in denial anymore. He’s accepted it. He goes, ‘All right, let’s attack this thing. What’s the next step?'”

Adrian Peterson’s father was the only member of AP’s family in D.C. that night.

“My phone was blowing up,” Nelson Peterson remembers. “Adrian’s mother was calling me and every family member was calling me to tell me to go check on him.” Nelson remembers what it was like sitting in the locker room with his son. “His mind-set from birth is what I’ve taught him: no pain,” he says. “Just to show you that mind-set: Before that game, he had promised a kid that he would sign his jersey. So unfortunately he wasn’t able to do it himself, but he sent a Vikings worker out there to get the jersey and he signed it and sent it back to the kid.”

Maybe the NFL has evolved into such a quarterback’s league, such a finesse game, that AP’s DNA had to find another avenue to impress us. Or maybe his recovery from this injury actually has improved him. Maybe he really is, as his coach says, better than ever (he seems more patient, more willing to use his fullback’s help, for instance, while retaining his relentless whirling-dervish-ness). It’s not even a year since he tore his ligament, and with 1,600 yards, Peterson is leading the NFL in rushing by more than 300 over the next guy, Marshawn Lynch. In fact, he has a chance to join the small fraternity of 2,000-yard rushers, even a slight chance at breaking Eric Dickerson’s all-time single-season rushing record of 2105. In Peterson’s mind, this was all ordained through God. Every member of his family believed it would be exactly thus, ever since Nelson Peterson handed AP a ball, set him down in his hometown of Palestine in East Texas, and explained to him who The Tyler Rose is.

Peterson’s DNA carried his parents’ dreams with it, both fulfilled and otherwise. AP’s mother was a three-time Texas All State Sprinter at Westwood High School in Palestine before matriculating as a scholarship sprinter and long jumper at the University of Houston. Nelson was a McDonald’s All American out of high school before attending Idaho State. Nelson was granted a tryout with the Philadelphia 76ers, but back at home in Houston before training camp, his brother fumbled with a gun he was cleaning and shot Nelson in the thigh. He would never play basketball again.

“Jesus was the only person to walk this earth perfect,” AP tells me when we’re discussing fathers and injuries after practice before the first game of the season, back when there were rumors expecting Vikings backup Toby Gerhart to get the majority of the reps opening day against Jacksonville. He’s also attempting to explain the contrast between his public persona, a warm, kindhearted humility with a famously granite handshake, and his on-field persona, which seems to be fueled by a molten, seething rage that’s being manhandled into a nobler but no less violent purpose. He finishes each of his runs like he’s trying to exorcize a spirit. He’s fun to watch, but it’s hard not to wonder what fuels this fusion of positivity and ferocity.

“I would say that came from a young age,” he says. “When I lost my brother.”

When a drunk driver hit Adrian’s half-brother Brian, Adrian screamed and ran to him. “I ran down there and held my hand under him,” he says. “I was calling his name but he wasn’t responding. So I ran to my aunt’s house, told her what happened. Two days later he passed from brain injuries; they decided to pull the plug.” The boys were separated by 11 months — Brian was 8 and Adrian was 7. Adrian’s mother, Bonita, says, “Everything they would do, they would do together.” And while that usually meant running, “Brian was the speedster of the family.”

“My mom cried for a year straight,” Peterson says. “So it was up to me to be there and be tough and to be strong for her. To hold my tears.”

Bonita still gets emotional when talking about it. “I was a young mom and it was a devastating time for me,” she says. “And I know it was only the grace of God that got me through. If the devil would’ve had his way, I would’ve been some Sodomite now. But God saw fit for me to overcome that and what happened to my son.” She calls Adrian her strength. “It seemed like he grew up a lot quicker than normal,” she says. “And that’s a lot on a 7-year-old kid. But it seemed like it was motivation for him.”

“I could never beat him running or anything,” AP says. “I was bigger than him, we had different dads, but athletic-wise I looked up to him. So that’s one thing that I wanted to pattern myself by, to be like my brother. I run for him.”

AP’s genetics were apparent in the immediate wake of the injury. He had his surgery moved up from the first week in January to December 30, six days after he tore his ligament on Christmas Eve. Afterwards, Dr. James Andrews, who performed the procedure in Birmingham, Alabama, pulled AP’s father aside and told him he had never seen the interior of a knee like that. “It’s like a newborn baby,” the famous orthopedic surgeon marveled.

Dr. Andrews agreed to talk to me about AP’s knee. “He runs good tread on it,” he says in that reassuring Louisiana country doctor accent that the most famous athletes in the world pay premium to have available on speed dial. “The big problem that we have in the NFL is that they wear out the patellofemoral joint, where the kneecap glides on the end of the thigh bone. We even start seeing this in college, sometimes even in high school. That articulate cartilage wears early in them. But the inside of AP’s patellofemoral joint looks like white glistening marble. When it’s worn it looks like a shaggy rug. That’s a problem, because when you go to rehab ’em, it propagates further wear and they break down because they already have bad surfaces.”

Dr. Andrews begs off credit for his role in the healing process. “I’m only with Adrian for an hour and a half during surgery,” he says. “Now, surgery is important, but really three people are responsible for his excellent recovery, or anybody’s recovery, and it’s not the surgeon. It’s the athletic trainer that works with them, that’s with them daily; it’s the physical therapist that’s rehabbing ’em daily. And it’s the patient. In AP’s case he has Eric Sugarman up in Minnesota and his physical therapist Russ Paine in Houston. Two of the greatest in the world.”

In fact, Dr. Andrews says his most important role is that of cheerleader. “Orthopedic patients that are injured have a long turnover,” he says. “They don’t get well over a couple of days — it’s months. So positive attitude is extremely important in their recovery.” He even has a ratio of positive to negative thoughts that he sees the most success with. “Five-to-1” he says. “Preferably 10-to-1.”

Adrian Peterson’s stepfather is a pastor at a Baptist church in East Texas. When AP was growing up, he attended his stepfather’s Cedar Branch Missionary Baptist Church in Grapeland, and his concept of negative and positive thinking is firmly rooted in a biblical language of good and evil. “The devil is always at work,” AP says. “He’s going to shoot those darts no matter what. I feel like a lot of people, they give up when the devil is shooting those thoughts and stuff in their mind. He alters what God has planned for ’em. They’re never able to get back on track and refocus on those things. So in that instance, the devil kind of won. So during that time immediately after surgery, when I couldn’t ride a bike or squat down, that’s when he was really at work with me. You’re not going to be back stronger than you were. You’re not going to be as fast. You’re never going to be the same.

Christianity is intimately woven into football culture, of course, but religion seems like an even more natural partner with recovery from orthopedic surgery. The undeniable advantage of faith-based thinking is that you don’t need proof that it’s working, and healing from a catastrophic joint injury takes such a long time and your progress isn’t readily apparent as you’re going through it. Even so, Peterson’s faith doesn’t seem to be blind: It seems like another muscle Peterson has diligently sculpted over time into a very impressive physique. It’s a trusted formula: God has always overcome the devil, adversity has always been followed by redemption. He lost his brother, but eventually his mother stopped crying and expanded the family; his father was incarcerated for laundering crack money, but he was released and now he comes to all of Peterson’s games whether home or away; Peterson was arrested in a Houston nightclub for disorderly conduct last summer, but this winter the grand jury dropped the charges; last December he tore his ACL, but this December he leads the NFL in rushing.

“It dates back to when I lost my brother when I was 7,” he says. “Different things that I’ve been through, different situations that I’ve been through in my life, praying to God and asking him to give me the strength and the faith and the courage, just whatever it takes to get through the situation. I’ve learned by applying those principles that things work out for me. So I’ve just been staying true to it.”

That’s not to say that his ACL recovery wasn’t unique: Every man is tested in mysterious ways. In a patellar tendon autograft surgery, where the middle third of the patient’s own patellar tendon is harvested from his own knee, cut into the shape of a ligament, and grafted into the thigh bone and the shin bone of the leg, the zombie ligament has to come back to life. There is usually a weakening before a strengthening. This, of course, can be discouraging to world-class athletes. In order for the new ligament to qualify among the living, according to Dr. Andrews, it needs to “revascularize, which means rebooting the blood flow into the joint from the thigh and shinbones. “Rehab turns on Mother Nature’s healing pump,” Andrews says. “It stimulates that healing process. So you have to have a certain amount of controlled exercises by good therapists and a good trainer to get the thing to heal properly.”

Early in the process, both Sugarman and Payne are literally hands-on, forcing the improvement in range of motion. “It’s really hard to get the last 5 degrees of extension and the last 10 or 15 degrees of flexion,” Sugarman says. “And you’d be hard pressed to do it on your own. So AP will tell you the most miserable part of rehab was when he would lay on his belly and he’d bend his knee as far as he could and I’d bend it the rest.”

And just like any other workout, as his condition improved half of the ongoing battle was psychological and half was physical, and while Peterson was as mentally determined as ever, keeping AP’s body interested isn’t always as much of a given. “Adrian was a challenge because everything you gave him he was able to attack it and then some,” Sugarman says. “I really had to think.” Sugarman brought in a Wii Fit, they did parachute and bungee cord sprinting, they worked out in sand pits, on underwater treadmills. “We’d sit in a stool and chase each other around the training room because you have to use your legs and hamstrings to move around on a stool.”

AP’s progress was more than steady. He went in for surgery a week early because of a remarkable lack of swelling; because he didn’t lose much muscle mass, he was jogging at six weeks on the Vikings’ underwater treadmill, sprinting at eight weeks, and running on dry land at 10 weeks. Sugarman started agility rehab at about 15 weeks. But it was five months in when he started having breakthroughs.

“We were in the indoor facility and we were rehabbing on the side. He was doing some running. And the team was doing our first offseason program, and they were doing some half-gassers, where they run across the field and back. And he looked at me and said, ‘Hey, let me go get two of these with these guys.’ And I said, ‘Adrian, no, no way.’ Because I knew with competition he was going to run harder and faster. And he said, ‘Listen, I’m not going to hurt myself. Just let me go get two of these with these guys.’ And I said, ‘Go ahead, but I’m watching.’ And he went over and he blew them away. And everyone looked at each other like, You’ve gotta be kidding me. How is this possible? And he looked over at me and said, ‘Maybe that will give them a little motivation.'”

The running joke in the locker room is for a beat reporter to ask Peterson, “Knee 100 percent yet?” By Week 13, when his right leg still isn’t the same size as his left, this is obviously annoying to him, but he’s been taking the question since Week 1, when he was answering it earnestly but didn’t have much data, and it hasn’t dawned on him until now that there’s not enough room between the “95 percent” answer he was giving at the end of the preseason and what it’s actually feeling like now for a percentage to be in any way helpful to anybody. And while he wants to be honest, he doesn’t want his self-diagnosis to sound like an excuse, or maybe even a brag. Even Dr. Andrews is smart enough and humble enough, and maybe even religious enough, to tell me, “I’ve never said that we could fix something as good as the Good Lord made it.”

Peterson will tell you that he started to feel “normal” after Game 3 versus San Francisco. His body took such a beating that his right leg felt more integrated with the rest of him — his entire body finally feeling like it was recovering together. “Looser and stronger,” he says about his leg at that point. “And that only comes with wear and tear.”

But as Dr. Andrews reminds us, you never quit worrying, especially during this first year back. “Especially at that level,” he says, “when it’s that accelerated.”

“I’m the senior consultant for the Redskins, and when we played the Vikings, I watched him the whole game holding my breath from the other sideline. I would see them tackle him and see what he was doing running through the line and I’d hold my breath. Get up, man. You worry about it. I’m just like his mother watching him play. You OK?

We’re back at Lambeau, and after stress-eating my way through a bratwurst that requires larger, more Favre-size hands than my own, it’s the start of the second half. Man, the Packers cheerleaders are rocking some dowdy outfits. No leg at all. But of course the Packers cheerleaders are plain. They’re authentic and rooted in history. Like everything else here. Probably being internally obnoxious right now. I asked the season-ticket holder guy in front of me who the most obnoxious visiting fans are. “Used to be you guys about eight years ago, when you were good,” he says. “Now it’s back to Bears fans. They’re the worst.”

The Vikings have received the kickoff, and after a nice return they hand it to All Day (his father Nelson gave him that nickname, by the way, when he was a hyperactive toddler). On the first play from scrimmage, AP bounces it out left, breaks a tackle, and is streaking down the left sideline. But two Packers have an angle on him this time, and he’s pushed out around the 12. Ponder hands it to him again and he gets a couple. Then on second down, Ponder goes back to throw, is flushed from the pocket, and scrambles across the entire field toward the right sideline. Nobody is open, but he seems locked on one of our big, slow wideouts, in this case Michael Jenkins. Ponder tosses it up Montana-to-Clark style, but the ball is horribly underthrown and it’s an easy interception in the end zone for Morgan Burnett, the Packer defensive back that AP punked on the 82-yard touchdown run in the first half. After the game, Burnett is quoted in the recaps saying, “I’d seen it was a pretty spiral, and I made sure I got my paws on it.” Such a perfectly smug, Packers d-back thing to say.

Lambeau Field immediately roared to life, and honestly, I know hindsight is 20/20, but that was the game right there. Because we’re not that good, certainly not good enough to throw terrible red zone picks in our division rival’s storied home stadium. The Packers get a field goal on their next drive. On a following drive, AP pumps his yardage up to 210, the second most yardage accumulated here in Lambeau history — behind the 218 Ahman Green had in a game against Denver in 2003 — but Ponder throws another pretty spiral to Burnett in the red zone at the end of the third quarter. After that pick, Aaron Rodgers leads the home team on an 18-play, 73-yard, 11-minute field goal scoring drive. It was the kind of ball-control drive that used to be the specialty of teams that run the ball, but A.Rodge’s West Coast version is even higher-percentage, even more clinically actuarial. It completely taps us out. The Vikings get the ball back with four minutes left down by 9. Without Percy, and maybe even with Percy, Ponder doesn’t have a chance. AP never touches the ball again. We don’t score a point in the second half. The Packers’ dowdy cheerleaders are enrosened by the colder air and the entire crowd sings along to “Roll Out the Barrel” and “Jump Around” while I sit there suffering from my millionth case of of course this was going to happen, infinite Vikings-fan resignation.

I zip my parka over my purple shirt and snake my way down a ramp into the green-and-gold bowels of the stadium. The reality-TV show that is a losing NFL locker room is the only part of the game that doesn’t really work on a flat-screen. These guys are ground up, and they are exhausted, and they are depressed, and they don’t want to fumble for clichés in front of cameras and microphones. When they let us in, AP is next to Ponder at Ponder’s locker, whispering something that seemed to be urgent at him. AP pumps his fist at his quarterback and retreats back into the training room. I float around and overhear half a dozen variations on the same theme: reporter trying to get somebody to say something emotional and raw about Ponder’s two picks, and the player signaling that he had his quarterback’s back by responding with inane blandishments. In 35 minutes, the locker room starts to clear out, the call goes out that Coach Frazier would be at the podium, and every media member clusters around AP’s locker, waiting for him to come out of the showers.

It’s a strange moment, when the star player emerges from the shower, refuses to acknowledge the craven horde surrounding his stall of private space, and pulls on his underwear and his pants and his shirt with everybody staring, lying in wait. It feels ancient and modern all at the same time. Everybody is watching this guy carefully cover the most impressive physique outside of Jack Kirby, and nobody does anything but act like this is completely fine. I know, he’s a dude, not Secretariat. It’s weird. He’s impressive. Everybody’s discreetly impressed, right?

Finally dressed, AP turns around and answers the same questions everybody else got, except this time with a, you know, “How does it feel to rush for 210 and lose?” angle. He handles everything perfectly. Better than perfectly. So perfectly that his answers seem progressively absurd when you think about it. Yeah, I probably should’ve made that one nice little gain into a 94-yard touchdown run. He’s not putting lipstick on a pig, he’s trying to remove lipstick from the most beautiful woman in the world.

“Rushing yards means nothing when you get an L,” he says. “Hard pill to swallow but there are two ways to look at it: negative or positive. I always choose to look at it positive.

“I think back on the turnover,” he says. “When we went three-and-out. The first play was a 32 lead, and if I’m just a second more patient I’ll take that to the crib. That’s a 94-yard run. I look back on that and that could’ve changed the game.”

I think about that old Catholic Vince Lombardi and his infallible pursuit of the perfectly executed power sweep. Even though we’re in the visitors, I think Coach Lombardi would’ve appreciated this, the star running back at his locker after a game in which he ran for 210 yards on a zombie knee, still obsessing over yards left on the field, taking personal responsibility for the team’s failure to get a win. Maybe that’s the essence behind AP’s reluctance to label his right knee “100 percent”: In a world full of sin, nothing is ever 100 percent.

“I think about the 48-yarder,” he says. “I could’ve taken that to the left side. There’s a lot of different ways you can look at it. Sometimes when it happens at the end, you throw an interception, the finger gets pointed at you. It hurts.”

Reprinted with appreciation by RTI

Megatron’s Garbage Time

During Calvin Johnson’s record-breaking performance against the Atlanta Falcons on December 22nd, I heard the commentators besmirch the accomplishment a bit by referring to his “garbage time” production inflating his numbers. Based on what I had seen I didn’t buy the argument, but I didn’t have the chance to really research the veracity of this claim. Thankfully there are those that do have that chance and it felt like this needed to be shared…

(This excerpt was written by Bill Barnwell on Grantland.com and his Week 16 NFL article in its entirety can be found here if you desire. The following is the entirety of his analysis of Calvin Johnson’s production this season)

Sifting Through the Garbage for Megatron

The one bright spot in Detroit’s loss to Atlanta on Saturday night was the record-setting performance from Calvin Johnson. Megatron caught 11 passes for 225 yards, and in doing so, he erased Jerry Rice’s 17-year-old record for most receiving yards in one season. With 1,892 receiving yards under his belt, Johnson would almost surely become the first receiver in league history to pick up 2,000 receiving yards in a single season by producing his ninth consecutive 100-yard game on Sunday against the Bears. After the record was set, though, the discussion started to shift toward another topic: Is it fair for Megatron to get so much of his yardage in the proverbial “garbage time,” when yards aren’t anywhere near as meaningful as they are in closer games?

I don’t think that’s the case, but it depends on what you define “garbage time” to be. My initial conception of garbage time was as those plays when a team trails by more than two touchdowns at any point during the game. If that’s your definition, Calvin Johnson has almost assuredly not benefited from garbage time. Through the first 15 weeks of the year, Megatron had just 104 receiving yards while his team was down by 15 or more points, which put him below dozens of other NFL receivers. He had 62 such yards on Saturday night, bringing his total to 166 yards, but that leaves him no higher than 12th among NFL receivers this year. Just 8.7 percent of his yardage has come down 15 points or more, which is actually below what you might expect: The average receiver, through 15 weeks, gained 11.8 percent of his receiving yardage while trailing by 15 points or more.

What if we change the definition of garbage time, though? Let’s say that garbage time is any point in the fourth quarter at which your team trails by more than one touchdown. By that definition, Calvin Johnson leads the league in garbage-time receiving, and it isn’t close: He has 416 receiving yards in that situation this year, and only Brandon Myers of the Raiders is approaching 300 yards in the same split. Solve for x and you can gather that Calvin Johnson has gotten a huge chunk of his yardage, 319 yards, this year in the fourth quarter while his team was down by eight to 14 points.

Was that yardage meaningful? I’ll let you decide. Those 319 yards including the following plays of 20 yards or more, sorted by yards gained:

  • A 37-yard gain with the Lions down 16-6 and 13:08 to go against the Eagles in a game the Lions eventually won
  • A 30-yard gain with the Lions down 24-10 and 9:26 to go against the Cardinals in a game the Lions would lose 38-10
  • A 26-yard gain with the Lions down 20-9 and 14:00 to go against the 49ers in a game the Lions would lose 29-17
  • A 25-yard gain with the Lions down 24-10 and 11:59 to go against the Vikings in a game the Lions would lose 34-24, but on a play that brought them down to the 2-yard line
  • A 22-yard gain with the Lions down 41-27 and 0:55 to go against the Titans in a game that the Lions would memorably tie up with two scores in the final minute and send to overtime before losing, 44-41
  • A 20-yard gain with 1:08 left in that same game
  • A 20-yard gain with the Lions down 16-6 and 10:56 to go against the Eagles in a game the Lions would win 26-23 in overtime, on a play that brought Detroit to the 1-yard line
  • A 20-yard gain in the aforementioned Vikings game with 8:06 left and a 31-17 deficit, but one where Johnson fumbled the ball away to Minnesota

Those eight plays count for an even 200 yards, or close to two-thirds of the yardage we would consider to be otherwise meaningless stat padding from Megatron. Well, two of those plays came in games the Lions actually ended up winning, two more came in games that produced a comeback and overtime, a fifth came with nearly the entire quarter to go in an 11-point game, and a sixth moved the Lions to the 2-yard line for a score that came on the next play, putting the Vikings down seven with 11:34 to go. The other two might not even qualify as garbage time, either. The case for Johnson padding his stats in garbage time there, even with his league-leading yardage total, is specious.

That’s the problem with making claims of stat-padding in garbage time: I suppose you can make “garbage time” mean anything you like, and eventually, you’ll probably come to some sort of split that tells the story you want to tell. You could make that argument about the two definitions I proposed above, and I suspect that somebody could eventually contort the play-by-play logs into some gerrymandered fit to prove the point about Johnson. By my definitions of the concept, though, I don’t see any evidence that Johnson is unfairly accruing meaningless numbers.

Of course, the flip side of this argument is that Rice wasn’t picking up every single one of his yards against the league’s best defense in the fourth quarter of tied games, either. I don’t have the play-by-play data for that year, but there are other arguments you can make regarding Rice’s total. For one, Rice’s starting quarterbacks were Steve Young (for 11 games) and Elvis Grbac; that’s a sight better than the sidearming wizardry of Matthew Stafford.

Furthermore, Rice’s big year came in 1995, a season that had a disproportionately high number of ridiculous yardage totals from top receivers. Even after Megatron’s big year, three of the top seven receiving yardage totals in NFL history came from the 1995 campaign. It was Rice’s best yardage total by a wide margin, something that was even more true for Isaac Bruce (1,781 receiving yards) and Herman Moore (1,686 receiving yards), both of whom failed to hit those lofty heights again. That seems like a far more damning quirk than whatever Johnson’s done late in games.

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…Yeah, what he said!

Re-printed with appreciation by RTI